Inventory Mismatch Paints a More Detailed Picture
Tale of Two Markets: Inventory Mismatch Paints a More Detailed Picture. Inventory of existing homes for sale was recently reported to be at a 3.6-month supply by the National Association of Realtors latest Existing Home Sales Report. Inventory is now 7.1% lower than this time last year, marking the 20th consecutive month of year-over-year drops.
Historically, inventory must reach a 6-month supply for a normal market where home prices appreciate with inflation. Anything less than a 6-month supply is a sellers’ market, where the demand for houses outpaces supply and prices go up.
As you can see from the chart below, the United States has been in a sellers’ market since August 2012, but last month’s numbers reached a new low.
Inventory Mismatch Paints a More Detailed Picture
Recently Trulia revealed that not only is there a shortage of homes on the market in general, but the homes that are available for sale are not meeting the needs of the buyers that are searching.
Homes are generally bucketed into three groups by price range: starter, trade-up, and premium.
Trulia’s market mismatch score measures the search interest of buyers against the category of homes that are available on the market. For example: “if 60% of buyers are searching for starter homes but only 40% of listings are starter homes, [the] market mismatch score for starter homes would be 20.”
The results of their latest analysis are detailed in the chart below.
Nationally, buyers are searching for starter and trade-up homes and are coming up short with the listings available, leading to a highly competitive seller’s market in these categories. Ninety-two of the top 100 metros have a shortage in trade-up inventory.
Premium homebuyers have the best chance of less competition and a surplus of listings in their price range with an 11-point surplus, leading to more of a buyer’s market.
“It leaves Americans who are in the market for a home increasingly chasing too fewer options in lower price ranges, and sellers of premium homes more likely to be left waiting longer for a buyer.”
Lawrence Yun, NAR’s Chief Economist doesn’t see an end to this coming any time soon:
“Competition is likely to heat up even more heading into the spring for house hunters looking for homes in the lower- and mid-market price range.”
Real estate is local. If you are thinking about buying OR selling this spring, let’s get together to discuss the exact market conditions in your area.
As a seller, you will likely be most concerned about ‘short-term price’ – where home values are headed over the next six months. As a buyer, however, you must not be concerned about price, but instead about the ‘long-term cost’ of the home.
Lower-priced homes have appreciated at greater rates than homes at the upper ends of the spectrum due to demand from first-time home buyers and baby boomers looking to downsize.
If you are one of the many Americans who is unsure of how much equity you have built in your home, don’t let that be the reason you fail to move on to your dream home in 2018! Let’s get together to evaluate your situation!
The average homeowner gained approximately $14,900 in equity during the past year. Compared to Q3 2016, negative equity decreased 22% from 3.2 million homes, or 6.3% of all mortgaged properties. U.S. homeowners with mortgages (roughly 63% of all homeowners) have seen their equity increase by a total of $870.6 billion since Q3 2016, an increase of 11.8%, year-over-year.
One way to show you are serious about buying your dream home is to get pre-qualified or pre-approved for a mortgage before starting your search.
The National Association of REALTORS® surveyed their members for their Confidence Index.
There’s a lot of discussion about the current state of housing affordability for both first-time and move-up buyers. Much of the narrative is tarnished with a negative slant.
Historically Speaking, There’s No Housing Bubble! Let’s break this down. From 1975 to 1990, home values trended at standard 5% annual growth. In 1990, when the US entered into a recession, new construction prices fell.
Low Housing Inventory Results in Double Digit Price Increases. If you are a first-time buyer or a seller thinking of moving up, waiting probably doesn’t make sense.
As an owner, your mortgage payment is a form of ‘forced savings’. This allows you to build equity in your home. You can tap into this equity later in life if you choose. As a renter, you guarantee the landlord is the person with that equity.
Each year, most homeowners wait until the spring to sell their houses because they believe that they can get a better deal during the normal spring buyer’s
Make sure all the information listed on your report is accurate and work to correct any mistakes.
The inventory of homes for sale has fallen year-over-year for the last 28 months and has had an upward impact on home prices.
We’re sharing some very exciting news today for First Time Homebuyers! New California State Programs are making homeownership a reality for first time homebuyers. Owned a home in the past?
Every market is different. Before you renew your lease again, find out if you can put your housing costs to work by buying this year!
That headline might be a little aggressive; however, as August 2017’s housing market data begins to roll in, we can definitely say one thing: If you are considering selling, IT IS TIME TO LIST YOUR HOME TODAY!
As we’ve said before, simply put, homeownership is a form of ‘forced savings.’ Every time you pay your mortgage, you are contributing to your net worth by increasing the equity in your home.